Trump 2024YES 71%NO 29%Fed Cut SepYES 34%NO 66%BTC $100k EOYYES 58%NO 42%Ukraine CeasefireYES 22%NO 78%Apple AI iPhoneYES 84%NO 16%Starship OrbitYES 77%NO 23%GPT-5 ReleaseYES 45%NO 55%Trump 2024YES 71%NO 29%Fed Cut SepYES 34%NO 66%BTC $100k EOYYES 58%NO 42%Ukraine CeasefireYES 22%NO 78%Apple AI iPhoneYES 84%NO 16%Starship OrbitYES 77%NO 23%GPT-5 ReleaseYES 45%NO 55%
Polymarket x Claude MCP

Prediction markets,
finally intelligent.

Lotso Bet connects Claude AI to Polymarket via MCP, surfacing mispriced odds, reading momentum, profiling event probabilities, and explaining what the crowd is missing.

Open Dashboard
Hehe... there's a mispriced market today. Let me find it for you.
idle · watching
Markets Tracked
12,480
Mispricing Found Today
247
Avg AI Confidence
84.2%
Total Volume Analyzed
$2.4B
Intelligence Modules

Four lenses on every
prediction market.

Claude MCP reads Polymarket's live API, cross-references real-world data, and surfaces what the crowd gets wrong — every minute.

📊
Module 01
Market Analyzer

Real-time probability assessment. Claude reads live Polymarket data and computes its own probability estimate — independent of crowd pricing.

  • ›Crowd vs. AI probability gap detection
  • ›Volume spike & liquidity analysis
  • ›Market momentum & trend scoring
  • ›Resolution date countdown risk
🎯
Module 02
Mispricing Finder

The edge hunter. Compares Polymarket odds vs. Claude's evidence-based estimate to surface statistically significant discrepancies.

  • ›Overpriced YES / Underpriced NO signals
  • ›Confidence-weighted edge score
  • ›Historical mispricing accuracy log
  • ›Category-filtered opportunity feed
🌐
Module 03
Sentiment Correlator

Maps X sentiment, news volume, and social signals to prediction market movements. Catch the narrative before it reprices.

  • ›X/Twitter signal vs. market price overlay
  • ›News velocity impact scoring
  • ›Contrarian signal detection
  • ›Narrative momentum index
💼
Module 04
Portfolio Tracker

Full position management with AI-powered PnL insights. Claude explains why each position is up or down — not just by how much.

  • ›Unrealized & realized PnL breakdown
  • ›Position risk exposure scoring
  • ›Exit signal recommendations
  • ›Portfolio correlation analysis
⚡
Module 05
Event Intelligence

Pre-event deep dives. Claude synthesizes historical base rates, expert forecasts, and data into a probability distribution before markets move.

  • ›Base rate analysis from historical data
  • ›Expert forecast aggregation
  • ›Pre-event probability distribution
  • ›Scenario outcome modeling
🔔
Module 06
Alert System

Real-time alerts when Claude detects significant mispricing, unusual volume, or narrative shifts in markets you're watching.

  • ›Mispricing threshold alerts
  • ›Unusual volume spike detection
  • ›Position exit signals
  • ›Telegram bot + web push delivery
Technology

Built on the
right stack.

"Every market holds a secret. Claude reads it. I report it."Lotso, Chief Intelligence Bear
Frontend
N
Next.js 14 + App Router
React framework · SSR · API routes · TypeScript
Core
T
Tailwind CSS
Utility-first styling · Responsive surfaces · Forced light mode
Core
AI Layer
C
Claude Sonnet 4
Anthropic SDK · Probability reasoning · Structured JSON output
AI
M
MCP Protocol
Tool access · Live API calls · Real-time context injection
AI
Data Sources
P
Polymarket API
Gamma API + CLOB API + WebSocket · Real-time odds and volume
Data
X
X / Twitter API v2
Sentiment signals · KOL mentions · Trending topics
Data
N
Perplexity + News APIs
Reuters · AP · Real-time news context for Claude
Data
Real-Time Infrastructure
S
WebSocket to SSE Bridge
Polymarket WS → Node singleton → SSE → browser
RT
R
Redis (Upstash)
Market cache 5min TTL · Claude analysis cache 30min
Cache
Local Persistence + Deploy
L
Browser Database
IndexedDB persistence · Analysis history · Watchlist and portfolio
Local
V
Vercel
Edge functions · Auto-deploy · Global CDN
Deploy
Process

From raw data to
actionable edge.

Four steps. Claude does the work. You see the signal.

01
MCP Pulls Live Data

Claude MCP calls Polymarket's API directly, reading current odds, volume, liquidity, and recent price movement for every tracked market in real-time.

02
Claude Builds Estimate

Claude synthesizes news, polling, base rates, and social signals into its own probability estimate, completely independent of what the crowd says.

03
Gap Analysis

The difference between Claude's estimate and Polymarket's price is the signal. Significant gaps with high confidence become actionable alerts.

04
You Stay In Control

Lotso Bet is intelligence, never automation. Every insight comes with reasoning. Every signal is explainable. Your judgment, amplified by AI.

Early Access Open

See what the crowd
is missing.

Lotso Bet is in closed beta. Join traders already using Claude MCP to find edges in Polymarket's $2B+ prediction ecosystem.

No spam. Access notification only.